18. 5. 2026

Chelsea vs Tottenham: odds, form and Sofascore Rating

A London derby with late-season stakes is set for Stamford Bridge, where Chelsea host Tottenham Hotspur in Premier League Round 37. With both teams in a 4-2-3-1 on the pre-match sheet and lineups not yet confirmed, this one shapes up as a clean contrast of styles. Stuart Attwell has the whistle, and the market ever so slightly leans blue.

Form and numbers that stand out

– Chelsea have scored 55 and conceded 49, while Tottenham sit at 46 for and 55 against. The hosts lean on control, averaging 58.2 percent possession and 87.4 percent pass accuracy. Spurs’ figures are 50.2 percent and 81.3 percent.
– Creativity tilts Chelsea’s way. They have 72 big chances created to Tottenham’s 49, plus 221 corners and 17 times off the woodwork. Spurs bring volume out wide with 733 crosses and a higher count of successful dribbles.
– Defensively, Chelsea own 9 clean sheets and fewer errors leading to goals, 8 to Tottenham’s 13. Shots against favor the hosts 385 to 448, though Spurs have allowed slightly fewer big chances against, 78 to 83.

Projected lineups and shapes

Both sides list a 4-2-3-1 before kickoff. For Chelsea, names like Robert Sánchez, Reece James, Malo Gusto, Wesley Fofana, Levi Colwill and Marc Cucurella appear in the back unit. The midfield group features Moisés Caicedo, Enzo Fernández and Cole Palmer, with Pedro Neto also in the attacking mix.

Tottenham’s pre-match sheet points to Antonín Kinský in goal, a back line of Pedro Porro, Kevin Danso, Micky van de Ven and Destiny Udogie, plus Rodrigo Bentancur and João Palhinha in midfield. The front four options include Randal Kolo Muani, Conor Gallagher, Mathys Tel and Richarlison.

Sofascore Rating trends to watch

Chelsea’s team average sits at 6.85, Tottenham’s at 6.75 across the season. Within the hosts’ projected group, Reece James 7.19, Moisés Caicedo 7.16 and Enzo Fernández 7.13 headline the form chart. Cole Palmer and Robert Sánchez are both tracking above 6.9.

For Spurs, João Palhinha 7.01 and Pedro Porro 6.89 top the current Sofascore Ratings among the likely starters. Richarlison checks in at 6.85. It suggests a midfield battle where ball winners on both sides could swing momentum.

Where this derby could turn

– Set pieces and aerials look important. Chelsea have 10 headed goals and win 51.2 percent of aerial duels, which could meet Tottenham’s crossing volume head on.
– Transition threats are live. Chelsea lead fast breaks 44 and fast break goals 5, a number that pairs well with their ball control. Spurs will look to dribble and attack space when it appears.
– Discipline might matter late. Tottenham have 94 yellow cards to Chelsea’s 86, and Stuart Attwell’s career totals include over 1500 yellows and 41 reds in 445 matches. Field position and fouls around the box could be costly.

Odds and what they say

The full-time market lists Chelsea at 1/1, the draw at 13/5 and Tottenham at 13/5. The Asian handicap shows Chelsea -0.5 at evens, which frames the home side as a slight favorite at Stamford Bridge. Given the numbers, that nod aligns with Chelsea’s stronger possession game and lower error count, while still respecting Tottenham’s threat from wide areas.

Track the match live on Sofascore for instant lineups once confirmed, momentum graphs, live stats and every Sofascore Rating update throughout the Premier League clash.

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