Match summary

The Rayo Vallecano - Elche match in the LaLiga 26/27 season is scheduled for 23 October 2026 at Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid.

Rayo Vallecano are the market favourite, with an implied probability of roughly 57%, while the draw is around 27% and Elche about 22%.

The fixture is set for round 10 at Rayo Vallecano’s home ground.

Form analysis and trajectory

• Rayo Vallecano: their last five show two wins, two draws and one defeat, indicating steady if unspectacular progress. Season totals (12 scored, 17 conceded) point to defensive instability despite a workable attacking output; the recent positive results are arriving alongside a back line that still allows chances.
• Elche: one win and three draws across the last five suggest they are hard to beat but lack cutting edge. With 11 scored and 17 conceded this season, their attack has been less efficient than Rayo Vallecano’s, and recurring stalemates keep them in the relegation places.

Comparison data

Statistic	Rayo Vallecano	Elche
League position	13	18
Points	9	7
Goals scored (season)	12	11
Goals conceded (season)	17	17
Head-to-head wins (total)	4	4

Key match insights

• Head-to-head balance: across 10 meetings, it is level — 4 wins each and 2 draws.
• Most recent meeting: Rayo Vallecano beat Elche 1-0.
• Manager head-to-head: no previous competitive meetings recorded between Benat San Jose and Martin Anselmi in the dataset.
• Team performance ratings: season average ratings are close — Elche 7.03 and Rayo Vallecano 6.97 — despite their differing league positions.

Sentiment and predictions

The market leans towards Rayo Vallecano at Estadio de Vallecas, reflecting their slightly stronger recent return and home advantage, though the historical head-to-head is even and Elche’s draw frequency suggests a competitive match.

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