Match summary

Atlético Madrid face Osasuna on 16 September 2026 at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid, in LaLiga.

The market favourite is Atlético Madrid, with an implied probability of roughly 67.6% to win; the draw is around 22.7% and Osasuna about 15.4%.

Event listing: Atlético Madrid - Osasuna

Form analysis and trajectory

• Atlético Madrid: recent league sequence reads win–draw–win–loss. They arrive off a defeat after a three‑match unbeaten run, taking 7 points from 4 matches (2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). A season tally of 7 scored and 6 conceded indicates a positive attack but a defence allowing 1.5 goals per match; an average team rating of 7.40 suggests overall performances remain strong despite that concession rate.
• Osasuna: their last five show draw–two wins–two losses, with momentum dipped by consecutive defeats. Across 5 league matches they have 7 points, scoring 5 and conceding 8, pointing to limited chance creation (1.0 scored per match) and a back line under pressure (1.6 conceded per match); the 7.22 average team rating is steady but trails Atlético’s.

Comparison data

Key match insights

• Head‑to‑head: Atlético Madrid lead with 8 wins to Osasuna’s 2, with no draws across 10 recorded meetings.
• Last meeting: Atlético Madrid 2–1 Osasuna.
• Manager head‑to‑head: no record available in the provided data for Diego Simeone versus Luis Miguel Ramis.
• Pre‑match team rating profile: Atlético 7.40 average versus Osasuna 7.22.

Sentiment and predictions

The market and data tilt toward a home win: Atlético are the favourite, have stronger average performances, and hold a clear head‑to‑head edge. Osasuna’s recent two‑match slide and lower scoring rate reduce their upset potential, though Atlético’s concession rate keeps a competitive window open.

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