Match summary

The Celta Vigo - Deportivo Alavés fixture in LaLiga is scheduled for 18 October 2026 at Estadio Abanca Balaídos, Vigo. Celta Vigo are the market favourite at home, with an implied win probability of roughly 47 percent. Deportivo Alavés are priced as underdogs, with the draw rated the second most likely outcome.

Form analysis and trajectory

• Celta Vigo: an unbeaten five-match run (four draws and one win) highlights resilience, but a modest attack has limited them to shared points. Their season profile of eight scored and six conceded in eight matches indicates controlled games, with defensive structure outweighing cutting edge in the final third.
• Deportivo Alavés: one win across their last five alongside three defeats signals a downward trend in results. Even so, their season return of 12 scored and eight conceded from eight matches shows balanced metrics; matches have been tight, and recent losses suggest fine margins rather than systemic collapse.

Comparison data

Key match insights

• Head-to-head record: Celta Vigo have won six of the last ten meetings, with Deportivo Alavés winning two and two draws.
• Last meeting: Deportivo Alavés won 4–3.
• Manager head-to-head: no prior competitive meetings are recorded between Claudio Giráldez and Quique Sánchez Flores in the available data.
• Team performance ratings: current average team ratings show Alavés at 7.48 versus Celta at 7.31, indicating comparable overall performance levels despite the market favouring the hosts.

Sentiment and predictions

The market leans towards Celta Vigo at Balaídos, implying around a 47 percent home win chance, with the draw next most likely. Alavés’ stronger points tally and slightly higher average rating point to a competitive match, but home advantage and Celta’s defensive stability shape the pre-match expectation.

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