Match summary

The Venezia - Fiorentina Serie A fixture is scheduled for 10 September 2026 at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venice.

Hosts Venezia meet Fiorentina in round 4.

The market lists Fiorentina as the favourite with an implied win probability of roughly 43 percent; Venezia are around 33 percent and the draw about 29 percent.

Form analysis and trajectory

• Venezia come in off three straight league defeats, scoring two and conceding seven across those matches. Their average Sofascore team rating in the recent run is 6.85, suggesting phases of competitiveness, but a concessions rate above two per match highlights defensive issues and limited box protection.
• Fiorentina have also lost three in a row, with one goal scored and nine conceded, placing them bottom. An average team rating of 6.57 reflects underperformance at both ends, with a three-per-match concessions rate and a subdued attack; despite this, they are the market favourite for this trip to Venice.

Comparison data

Key match insights

• Head-to-head: Venezia lead the series 6–3 with 1 draw.
• Last meeting: Venezia 2–1 Fiorentina.
• Manager head-to-head: there is no recorded prior meeting between Giovanni Stroppa and Fabio Grosso in the data provided.
• Recent team ratings: Venezia 6.85 vs Fiorentina 6.57 (Sofascore averages over recent matches).

Sentiment and predictions

Market sentiment leans towards Fiorentina as the marginal favourite, but both sides are winless and have conceded heavily to start the season. Venezia’s stronger historical head-to-head and home setting at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo temper the edge granted by the market to the visitors.

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