Match summary

The AS Roma - Genoa fixture in Serie A is scheduled for 16 October 2026 at Stadio Olimpico, Rome. Based on current market prices, AS Roma are the market favourite with roughly 72% implied probability. The visitors, Genoa, carry an implied probability near 13%, with the draw around 20%.

Form analysis and trajectory

• AS Roma are unbeaten in five league matches, arriving on a three-match winning streak that followed two draws. Their attack is producing 14 goals in six matches (2.33 per match), while the defence has allowed only three (0.50 per match), underpinning 14 points and third place with a strong average team rating of 7.82.
• Genoa enter on back-to-back defeats and are winless in three (two losses and a draw) across their latest five, with just one win in that span. Output has been limited at five goals in six (0.83 per match), while 11 conceded (1.83 per match) and a 7.11 average team rating align with a 17th-place standing on four points.

Comparison data

Key match insights

• Head-to-head trend: AS Roma have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, with Genoa winning 2 and 2 ending level.
• Most recent head-to-head: Genoa beat AS Roma 2–1.
• Manager head-to-head: Gian Piero Gasperini (AS Roma) versus Daniele De Rossi (Genoa) has no recorded manager head-to-head in the available dataset.
• Team strength indicators: Roma’s average team rating is 7.82 (third-highest among the top sides), and they have conceded only three goals in six matches, one of the best defensive records in the division; Genoa’s 7.11 average rating and five goals scored indicate a more conservative attack.

Sentiment and predictions

The market positions AS Roma as clear favourites, supported by superior league position, stronger recent trajectory, a markedly better goal difference, and a favourable head-to-head record at home.

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