Match summary

The Auxerre - Nice fixture is scheduled for 12 September 2026 at Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre, in Ligue 1 (round 4). Auxerre are the market favourite with an implied probability around 39 percent; Nice are a close second around 36 percent, with the draw near 30 percent. Auxerre arrive bottom (18th, 0 points) while Nice sit 15th (2 points).

Form analysis and trajectory

• Auxerre come in on three consecutive league defeats. They have conceded 11 goals across their first three matches while scoring 4, indicating defensive instability rather than a lack of attacking intent. Their current team average rating is 6.55, which trails Nice’s and reflects recent underperformance at both ends.
• Nice have opened with a draw, a defeat, and another draw. They have struggled to convert possession into chances, scoring only 1 goal in three rounds while allowing 4. Even so, their team average rating of 7.03 suggests structured play and control phases, with results held back by limited end product.

Comparison data

Key match insights

• Head-to-head: Nice lead the overall series with 4 wins to Auxerre’s 3, alongside 3 draws.
• Last meeting: Auxerre beat Nice 2-1.
• Manager head-to-head: no prior meetings on record in this dataset between Will Still and Olivier Pantaloni.
• Performance indicator: Nice’s team average rating (7.03) exceeds Auxerre’s (6.55), pointing to stronger underlying displays despite fewer points.

Sentiment and predictions

The market leans towards Auxerre as a slight favourite, likely influenced by home advantage at Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, though Nice’s stronger underlying ratings keep this close.

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