Match summary

The HNK Hajduk Split - NK Varaždin fixture is scheduled for 18 October 2026 at Stadion Poljud, Split. It is a round 10 match in the HNL at a 34,198-capacity venue. HNK Hajduk Split are the market favourite, with pricing implying roughly a 56 percent chance of victory.

Form analysis and trajectory

• HNK Hajduk Split arrive on a five-match spell featuring four wins and one defeat, a run that includes three consecutive victories within it. Their season profile shows 18 goals scored and 9 conceded in 9 matches (about 2.0 scored and 1.0 conceded per match), pointing to reliable attacking output supported by a solid defence. Sitting first with 19 points, they are trending positively after their sole recent setback.
• NK Varaždin are unbeaten across their last five league matches, combining two wins with three draws. Their defensive record is among the league’s stingiest (7 conceded in 9, around 0.78 per match), and their team average rating of 7.77 slightly exceeds Hajduk’s 7.59, suggesting consistent individual performances. With 14 goals scored and 7 conceded for 18 points, they have built results on controlled games and low concessions.

Comparison data

Key match insights

• Overall head-to-head: Varaždin lead with 4 wins to Hajduk’s 3, with 3 draws.
• Last meeting: NK Varaždin 2–1 HNK Hajduk Split.
• Manager head-to-head: no recorded prior meetings between Gonzalo García and Nikola Šafarić.
• Team rating trend: Varaždin’s average team rating (7.77) marginally tops Hajduk’s (7.59), while Hajduk hold the stronger goal difference (+9 versus +7).

Sentiment and predictions

The market leans towards HNK Hajduk Split at Stadion Poljud, reflecting league position and home advantage, while Varaždin’s unbeaten run and defensive stability indicate a likely tight margin. The draw is viewed as the secondary outcome by market assessment.

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