Match Summary

HNK Hajduk Split - HNK Gorica is scheduled for 11 April 2026 (16:30 UTC) at Stadion Poljud, Split. This is an HNL fixture with HNK Hajduk Split hosting. Market Favorite: HNK Hajduk Split with an implied win probability of approximately 61% based on the latest full-time 1X2 market.

Form Analysis & Trajectory

• HNK Hajduk Split: Over the last five league matches, Hajduk recorded three wins, one draw, and one loss, indicating a positive uptick after a brief setback. Season-to-date metrics (48 scored, 26 conceded) point to a stable defensive base (under 1.0 goals conceded per match) supporting recent results. The squad’s average player rating (6.93) is higher than the opponent’s, aligning with their second-place standing and consistent chance creation.
• HNK Gorica: The recent run shows one win with three draws and one loss, reflecting difficulty converting parity into victories. Season numbers (34 scored, 39 conceded) suggest limited attacking output (≈1.2 goals per match) and occasional defensive leakage, explaining the draw-heavy sequence and mid-table position. The average rating (6.79) trails Hajduk’s, consistent with lower shot quality and fewer high-probability chances.

Comparison Data

Key Match Insights

• Head-to-head: Hajduk leads the series with 7 wins to Gorica’s 2, with 1 draw across the recorded meetings; however, the most recent clash ended HNK Gorica 1–0 HNK Hajduk Split.
• Manager duel: No prior competitive head-to-head on record between Gonzalo García (Hajduk) and Mario Carević (Gorica) in the available dataset.
• Player-performance baseline: Team average ratings favor Hajduk (6.93) over Gorica (6.79), supporting the home side’s market status.
• Table context: Hajduk (2nd, +22 goal difference) is pursuing European qualification, while Gorica (7th, −5 goal difference) faces mid-table constraints, making home advantage at Stadion Poljud material.